Reference Intelligence (REFINT): Intelligence Discipline Guide
Most wrong conclusions can be traced back to two records an analyst believed were about the same thing. Reference intelligence...
Most wrong conclusions can be traced back to two records an analyst believed were about the same thing. Reference intelligence...
Open source is not free intelligence. It is unvalidated raw material available to anyone, including your adversary, and the discipline...
The evacuation decision was made three days after the intelligence supported it. Nobody lacked information. What was missing was a...
Piracy risk is not a map. It is a product of monsoon windows, mothership range, freeboard and speed, and how...
The famine is declared months after the data said it was coming. Vegetation anomaly, staple price, and the first export...
You can watch a diplomatic crisis fill up. Reservoir altimetry showed the impoundment rate months before the downstream government said...
Climate intelligence is not weather forecasting. It is the discipline of working out which rainfall deficit ends in a cabinet...
The first measurable sign of a coming famine is usually not hunger. It is a market price series breaking from...
A kidnap-for-ransom market has a price list, a broker layer and a settlement rail. Treat it as an economy rather...
The finance team approved the transfer because they recognised the chief executive on the call. Voice, face and cadence were...